October 19, 2012

The end of nuclear power: a utopia

Chronic policy of the Friday morning of each morning on luxury Luxury Radio

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For decades that the organizations anti-nuclear activists, sometimes violently, to the abandonment of the nuclear. e earthquake, followed by a

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Tidal Wave, in Japan, and the catastrophe of Fukushima who had resulted, seemed conceal the future of nuclear power, a little everywhere in the world. Japan announced, in the wake ,the graceful shutdown of nuclear power in 30 years.The Germany, by a statement somewhat hasty of Angela Merkel, announced the abandonment of nuclear-generated electricity. France, the United States and other countries were studying the question, by weighing the pros and cons. The anti-nuclear pavoisaient, and economic officials were firing sounded the alarm.Since the March 11, 2011, date of the disaster of Fukushima, the spirits are quiet and the pragmatism of the policies has taken over.

For France, the last Council of Nuclear Policy, the CPN, chaired by Francis Holland, the French President, has endorsed the support of France to the atom civil. If the Council announced a stop of the early central from Fessenheim, subject that the economic conditions, technical and social, are respected, the commissioning of the EPR reactor in Flamanville, of last generation, is confirmed. It is clear that the end of the nuclear could be expensive to France. Henri Proglio, the president of EDF, stresses that the abandonment of nuclear power would require investments in the order of 400 billion euros, would result in the doubling of the invoice of electricity and nearly a million jobs would be placed in jeopardy. In addition, the export of this great opportunities in China, India, in Europe. As the said the socialist minister, Arnaud Montebourg, in the case of France, the nuclear is a pipeline for the future.

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The Japan, him, after having announced the judgment of the nuclear, puts into activity the central previously placed in the judgment and puts in construction, three nuclear reactors. Before the accident in Fukushima, the nuclear production represented in Japan nearly 30% of the consumption of electricity and the authorities were planning to increase this share to 53% by 2030.

In Germany, the output of the nuclear sees the invoice swell. The inflation in the cost of the electricity provoked a heated debate within the coalition government. Electricity must not become a luxury product exclaims Michael Fuchs, the German conservative member. Merkel must review its copy, and the elections are approaching. The euphoria of the energy revolution, will not hard in Germany, more than eighteen months, before the economic realities.

The United States, themselves, have more nuclear power stations than any other country in the world, 104 in activity, and after a pause, plans to build 30 new power plants.

Everywhere, in the world, nuclear energy is needed. The real problem is the security. The constructors should not skimp on the stringent security measures which are necessary. One thing is certain, the shutdown of the nuclear power is not for tomorrow.

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October 12, 2012

OPEC and GAZPROM in the turmoil

Chronic policy of the Friday morning of each morning on luxury Luxury Radio

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Forget the theory of peak oil, the barrel of oil still more rare.

.Forget the great fear of an OPEC of gas.

Forget a OPEC triumphant, combining the trade to the policy.

Forget the prophecies of the engineer, Jean Laherrere, who announced in 1998, the end of cheap oil and the oil Peak for 2015.

Certainly, the discoveries of oil and gas are proliferating. The farm investments-production should increase this year by more than 13 %. On the first nine months of this year, more than 146 new discoveries of deposit have been identified in the world. This dynamism is due to massive investments, justified by the levels of price of oil.

But this does not explain everything. The role of the element provocateur returns to the American of shale gas. We attended the United States to a real gold rush black deposits of shale. Treasures of gas and oil have been revealed thanks to the technique of hydraulic fracturing of rocks. This upset the given energy and calls into question the political alliances and the reign of petrodollars.

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The full power of the Russian Gazprom is in question, shaken up by this shale gas much maligned. It is a true revolution that the Russian giant has not seen coming. It has been, already, forced to abandon his project of exploitation of the Shtokman field, planned to supply the United States. The rise in power of the exploitation of oil in America, the gas production which is becoming a tidal wave, are in the process of achieving a real counter-oil shock. "Our annual costs of gas is of 500 million euros, it would be 200 million, if we produce to the United States," explained there is little the boss of the Belgian chemical group Solvay.

The Americans have more need of the Russian gas, much more, their surplus, as well as gas than in oil, will shake up the hierarchy between the different sources of energy. They are going to shatter all the rates for long-term supply required of Gazprom and Sonatrach. Sooner or later, they will end up doing drop the oil from its pedestal. We are going toward the $50 per barrel in 2015 predict already some experts. One thing is certain, the geopolitical consequences are going to change the global landscape.If the reign of oil at $180 a barrel key to its end, the countries who have lived so far on the manna of the petrodollars, will need to make revisions harrowing and likely abandon their search for religious hegemony. They will have

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Adapt their foreign policy with the new geopolitical strategy of Washington who is going to follow. The Kremlin will have to revise its copy, not having more of this arm weapon of its foreign policy, convenient and efficient, that has been and still is, Gazprom. Remind you of the gas war with Ukraine.

The people of the investors is in the process to realize of this new state, and their influence on the world prices, will magnify this against-oil shock.

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October 05, 2012

Assad wants to crush the revolt

Chronic policy of the Friday morning of each morning on luxury Luxury Radio

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The Syrian drama continues, and it is far from complete. Assad is determined to fight until the last alaouite, whatever the price to be paid by a population trapped in conflict. This civil war has already done more than 30,000 deaths, nearly a million displaced persons and refugees across borders, represent more than 250,000 people.

The regime has put in place in the small towns and villages, the committees for the defense which popular supplements to the regular army, once the latter, after having crushed under the bombs of the entire neighborhoods, withdrew. To strengthen its defense, the regime has recalled more than 2000 reservists of the republican guard, the specialists of missiles and transmissions. For six months, tens of thousands of young Alawites do, are driven to the urban warfare by the Iranian and russian instructors. It should be noted, that the rise in power of radical Islamists among the insurgents, has created a psychological change in an army, cemented to fight two enemies, the bearded first, and then Israel. The soldiers, aware of this Islamist threat, are motivated to fight, according to numerous witnesses on the spot. They believe that they are fighting for their survival, and that the insurgents will not gifts.

Since the drives from the Assad clan have taken the above, all ways are good to crush the rebellion. People's Committees for the defense, mobilization of elite units, call to thousands of Alawites do, tanks, armoured vehicles, aviation, combat helicopters, infiltration of opposition movements, everything is implemented to overcome this uprising. The regime played its survival, and the support of the Iran and Russia, fact that Assad considers that it has no other choice but to push each day, a little more, the countries in the tragedy and the desolation. Certainly, Assad has to go, and it will depart, dead or alive, but how many more dead the Syrian people will have to undergo? The Tunisian president has qualified President Bashar al-Assad to "bloody dictator, real Nero capable of destroying the whole of the country to stay in power. "The Arab countries have discussed recently at the United Nations to a possible Arab military intervention. This civil war, between the minority Alawis in power to a Sunni population, exacerbated sectarian divisions in the Arab world, in particular between the Shia crescent, namely, Iran, Iraq, Syria, and a part of Lebanon and the rest of the Sunni Arab countries, taken by Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

It must not rule out the possibility of a defeat of the insurgents. But the international community did not permit it. Also, if it became clear that the

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Rebellion was in the process of losing the game, then, and only then, a direct military intervention could take place. In any thing, any intervention may be considered, without the involvement of the United States. For the moment, the presidential election campaign allows no bellicose initiative on the part of Washington. All military experts agree to say: it is of the Interior that the it will befall the regime. As a last resort, Assad will attempt to engulf the entire region. Despite the recent border incidents syrian-israeli track turkish, the truth is that a military intervention in Syria, is not for tomorrow.

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